Market Notes 3 Min Read Dec 30, 2025

What December Hiring Signals Really Looked Like (And How to Use Them for January)

December isn’t “dead.” It’s noisy, uneven, and full of timing signals. Here’s what I observed by tracking company hiring momentum daily—and how to prepare for January after the holidays.

Most people treat December as a write-off for job search.

I used to think the same—until I started tracking hiring changes daily across my company list.

What I learned is simple:

December isn’t dead. It’s just uneven. And because it’s uneven, it creates signals that are easy to miss if you only look at job boards.

This post is a December recap (based on daily hiring momentum tracking), plus how I’m preparing for January.


The 3 biggest December patterns I noticed

1) Hiring wasn’t steady — it was “bursty”

Instead of smooth growth, I saw days with:

This is exactly why weekly “momentum” is more useful than just counting open roles.

Market pulse: open roles line + daily net changes bars Figure: December movement shows spikes and slowdowns rather than a straight line.


2) “Churn” mattered more than raw volume

A big company can add a lot and remove a lot in the same window.

That creates a different reality than “hiring is up”:

So I started watching Added + Removed together, not just “Added.”


3) Many roles were short-lived

This is the most practical December lesson:

If roles close fast, your strategy must change.

For at least some companies in my tracking, the durability signal looked like:

That implies:

Company example: momentum timeline + durability (age buckets) Figure: A company-level view combining daily adds/removes with role lifespan buckets.


Weekday effect: when jobs tend to appear (and disappear)

Once you track daily diffs, an uncomfortable truth shows up:

Hiring activity is not evenly distributed across the week.

So I started looking at:

Even a simple weekday heatmap makes timing visible.

Weekday heatmap: adds/removes/net by weekday Figure: Some weekdays are consistently more “active” than others.


Booming vs freezing: why December can be misleading

December is full of “false calm.”

A company can look stable because:

Another company can look active but be:

So I tracked a simple distribution:

Booming vs freezing counts over time Figure: The market mood changes across December; stability can hide churn.


What I expect in January (and how I’m preparing)

This part is not a guarantee—just a plan based on how hiring usually behaves after holidays plus what December signals suggest.

Likely January dynamics

My January prep checklist

  1. Identify companies with late-December momentum (they may carry into January)
  2. Prioritize companies where roles close fast → be ready to act within 48 hours
  3. For slow-durability companies → prepare targeted networking and referrals
  4. Use news only when it aligns with spikes/freezes (context, not distraction)

Why this matters

If you’re applying randomly, December feels quiet and discouraging.

If you watch momentum + durability + weekday patterns, December becomes useful:

That’s the mindset I’m taking into January.


I built this tracker for myself and open-sourced it:

GitHub: Repo link Related blog post: Why I built this

Setup instructions are included in the repository.

Written by Krishna Vamsi

Engineer & Researcher. Building reliable agents.

Comments

Loading comments...

Leave a thought